2019 Presidency: Doyin Okupe Analyses Buhari’s Chances of Winning with Stats

Following the choice of former Anambra State Governor, Dr. Peter Obi as the running mate to the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, presidential candidate, Atiku Abubakar in the 2019 president election, former aide to ex-President Goodluck Jonathan, Doyin Okupe, has predicted the percentage of votes that President Muhammadu Buhari will get in each state of the 6 geographical regions in the country.

The former presidential aide had yesterday conducted a similar poll on Buhari’s main challenger, Atiku Abubakar.

Okupe had said Atiku will poll 70% votes in North East and North Central states of Nigeria to defeat Buhari in 2019.

In a series tweets on Friday night, Okupe, gave Buhari no chance in the South East as a result of Obi’s choice as Atiku’s VP.

He tweeted:

1. Now let’s get down to real biz.
NW. Omg has scored 6m votes here for d last 15yrs.except against yaradua in 2007. The elite coalition against PMB is nearly total.opposition in kano& jigawa will force pmb’s vote down to 70% max.

2. North East.
Bauchi PMB 50%
Gombe PMB 20%
Yo be….PMB 50%
Bornu PMB 50%
Adamawa PMB 20%
Taraba PMB 20%
Average…..PMB 35%

3.North central
Kwara PMB…30%
Kogi PMB 40%
Niger PMB 30%
Nasarawa PMB.. 35%
Benue PMB……..20%
Benue PMB………20%
Average. PMB…30% approx

4. South East.
Enugu…..PMB 10%
Anambra PMB. 10%
Abia……..PMB 10%
Imo……..PMB 30%
Ebonyi PMB……10%
Average PMB…..14%

Pls correct my error in South South
I left out Edo state and mistakenly gave hero’s projection to Bayelsa.
Rivers PMB…..35%
C/R…….PMB. 35%
A/ibom PMB.. 35%
Delta PMB….40%
Edo PMB..30%
Bayelsa PMB 15%
Average…PMB 30% approx

South West
Lagos….PMB….50%
Ogun PMB………50%
Oyo PMB……..40%
Osun PMB………50%
Ondo PMB………..50%
Ekiti PMB……….60%
Average PMB……50%

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