Expect Large Scale Violence In 2015 Polls, Fmr. US Ambassador Campbell Warns

Must Read

Insurgency: What I Told Leah Sharibu’s Father: Saraki

Former Senate President of Nigeria, Senator Bukola Saraki has revealed that he spoke to Daniel Sharibu, father of Leah...

Nigerian Newspaper Headlines Today: 22nd February 2020

No Going Back On Social Media Regulation - Lia Mohammed The Minister of Information and Culture, Lai Mohammed has stated that the...

I Have No Intention Of Joining Coronavirus Infected APC: Fayose

Former governor of Ekiti state, Peter Ayodele Fayose has stated that he has no intention of joining the ruling...

FG Releases N386m For Coronavirus Prevention

Mr Abdulaziz Mashi, a permanent secretary at the federal ministry of health has disclosed that the federal government of...

Court Asks DSS To Probe Bayelsa Deputy Governor For Certificate Forgery

The All Progressive Congress(APC) has launched a counter-attack on the newly sworn-in deputy governor of Bayelsa state, Lawrence Ewhrudjakpo...
Ardent Reader, News Freak, Socio-Political Commentator, Archaeologist & Pro-Democrat.

John CampbellA former United States’ ambassador to Nigeria, John Campbell, has warned of likely large scale violence in the March 28 and April 11 elections.

This view, contained in a new report published and released by the US’ Council on Foreign Relations and authored by Campbell, warned that the 2015 elections may “precipitate violence that could destabilise Nigeria”.

The report noted that the US government was at a cross roads as its influence on the Nigerian government has waned over the years.

“The upcoming elections are a rematch of the 2011 elections between the incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan (a southern Christian) and Muhammadu Buhari (a northern Muslim and a former military chief). Tension between Washington and Abuja is higher than in 2011, largely over how to respond to the radical Islamist insurgent group, Boko Haram, which is steadily gaining strength in northeast Nigeria”, it said.

The report titled, ‘Nigeria’s 2015 Presidential Election: Contingency Planning Memorandum Update’, pointed out that Jonathan will face a stiff competition from Maj. Gen. Muhammadu Buhari (retd.) in the March 28 presidential election.

“The APC is stronger than its predecessors (Action Congress of Nigeria and Congress for Progressives Change) and reflects a splintering of the political classes. The government’s inability to defeat Boko Haram, the economic hardships brought on by falling oil prices, and a growing public perception that the Jonathan administration is weak have fueled support for the All Progressives Congress. Though the APC’s voter base is in the North, it enjoys support all over the country, unlike the opposition in 2011”, Campbell stated.

The former ambassador, however, noted that Jonathan had significant advantages over Buhari. According to him, the president “is at the centre of extensive patronage networks; he has access to the government’s oil revenue; and he and his party largely control the election machinery and ballot-counting infrastructure”.

Though Campbell admitted that would-be voters in Adamawa, Borno and Yobe – states worse hit by insurgency – were likely to cast their votes for Buhari and the APC, Jonathan was more likely to emerge winner of the election.

“It is uncertain whether any provisions will be made for voters in the three northern states placed under a state of emergency because of Boko Haram, as well as the estimated one million people displaced by the insurgency. These displaced voters would likely support Buhari and the APC; their exclusion would benefit Jonathan and the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). Thus despite the strength of the opposition, Jonathan remains the likely – but not certain – winner”.

- Advertisement -
Ad ==> Discover how a young Nigerian graduate now makes a consistent 40k per week doing a legitimate online business. You too can start yours now, click here!!!


  1. Pls tell dem buari can know hellp nigeria is our enim , note buari is the crator of boko haram if buari want nigera to vote for him let buari stop boko hara befor 28 of machi thank you !!! HAPPY SUNDAY and GOD BELSS NIGERIA

  2. One million lie,,go and predict american result not nigeria bcos you are there just to suck our oil and go,,,what of southwest?? We will vote APC massively…so mr campbell you are telling them how to rig the election,,,only unpatroitic person can encourage corruption


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

More Articles Like This

- Advertisement -